Last update:
Delhi Exit Poll 2025 Analysis: If the BJP really gets seats as a prediction-70-Sasiyaan in the House between 35 and 60-it will end the dominance of the AAP in the Legislature of the National Capital for a decade.
While AAP is looking at another tenure, banking, BJP and Congress are looking for a revival on their rule records and welfare schemes. (File Image: PTI)
The BJP is likely to return to the Delhi Assembly elections after nearly three decades, but AAP may not be behind the most. Voting Predicting majority for saffron party.
If the BJP really gets a really predicted seats-then between 18 and 60 in the 70-member house-it will end the prolonged dominance of the AAP led by Arvind Kejriwal in the National Capital Assembly. It also keeps BJP in commanding position as the largest party.
However, most of the exit poll also predicted a close election competition between 10 and 52 seats with AAP tally, while the Congress, which did not win a single seat in 2015 and 2020, is likely to be repeated its performance again. , By not opening your account or winning at least three seats.
Delhi Exit Poll 2025 Live Update follow here
What does an exit election look like here:
ABP matriies
According to the ABP Matris Exit Poll, it will be a close competition between BJP and AAP. It predicted 35 to 40 seats for BJP and 32 to 27 for AAP. The survey shared 46 percent votes to the BJP, followed by AAP 44 percent, Congress 8 percent and 2 percent for others.
AAP: 32-27
BJP: 35-40
Congress: 0-1
P-marketing
P-Marq also predicted a close competition between BJP and AAP. It shared 45 percent of the votes to the saffron party, which was about 42 percent of AAP and only 9 and 4 percent of the Congress and others.
BJP: 39-49
AAP: 21-31
Congress: 0-1
Peepal pulse
However, the People’s Pulse predicted a wide victory for the BJP with at least 51 seats, far beyond the majority mark of 36.
BJP: 51-60
AAP: 10-19
Joint enterprise company
JVC exit polls showed that BJP can win at least 39 seats with 31 and at least two in Congress.
AAP: 22-31
BJP: 39-45
Congress: 0-2
Pole diary
The pole diary was another survey to predict a major victory for the BJP with at least 42 to 50 seats.
AAP: 18-25
BJP: 42-50
Congress: 0-2
Strategies
Chanakya strategies gave BJP 39 to 44 seats and AAP with at least two seats for the Congress, 25 to 28 seats.
BJP: 39-44
AAP: 25-28
Congress: 2-3
DV research
DV Research predicted at least 36 seats for BJP, with closeness on AAP 34.
AAP: 26-34
BJP: 36-44
Congress: 0
Other: 0
Insight of people
People’s insights predicted a comfortable win for the BJP with 40 to 44 seats.
AAP: 25-29
BJP: 40-44
Congress: 1
Wepside
Weepreside predicts an external and 46 to 52 seats to predict a strong win for a strong win.
AAP: 46-52
BJP: 18-23
Zenia
While Zeenia also predicted a win for AAP, it is close to the party with 33 to 38 seats.
AAP: 33-38
BJP: 31-36
Congress: 0-2
Other: 0-2
KK survey
Also away from the majority, the KK survey predicted a comfortable win for the AAP with 44 seats.
AAP: 44
BJP: 26
Congress: 0
Delhi recorded voter turnout On Wednesday, 57.89 percent, which are engaged in a thorough fight to rule the national capital amid allegations of misconducts including money distribution and fake voting by both AAP and BJP. The polling is about five percent less than the 2020 assembly poll (62.59 percent) when AAP won 62 out of 70 seats, while BJP did not get eight more Congress.
The exit poll results came immediately after the voting ended at 6 pm, in which many people won the ruling AAP for the BJP, while the Congress was yet to suffer from another route. At least six exit elections predicted BJP’s victory, while two said AAP would maintain electricity. A close competition appeared between them in two other elections, which had an edge for the BJP.
Voting results are to be declared on 8 February. Exit polls are estimates made by election-survey agencies, based on voters’ interviews as they come out of polling booths after casting their vote. These can vary widely from real results.
Also read Delhi Elections 2025: Was there elections to exit in 2020? Pollutants have predicted here
What did the contenders say?
Reacting to the exit poll, AAP national spokesperson Reena Gupta rejected the results that the party would again form the government in Delhi and Kejriwal would become the Chief Minister for the fourth consecutive time. Delhi BJP chief Virendra Sachdeva stressed that it would be more excellent than his party’s victory what exit poll showed.
Gupta said the pollutants have underestimated “historically” AAP’s performance. “You look at any exit pole – whether in 2013, 2015 or 2020 – AAP has always been shown in a small number of seats. But it found a large number of seats. The real results,” she said.
Meanwhile, Sachdeva said that the party respects the prophecies of exit polls. He said, “I believe that the people of Delhi had made up their mind long ago that they wanted change,” he said that people want a corruption -free government.
What does exit pole results mean?
For BJP, it could end the end of those seen as a zinc, as the party had made a clean sweep in Delhi in the last three Lok Sabha elections, yet the assembly elections could not win. The party won the very first assembly election in 1993, and through it gave a five-year term with three different Chief Ministers. It lost in 1998, and the Congress went to rule for 15 years before the AAP incident became a hit.
AAP and its supremo Arvind Kejriwal have so far focused their politics around Delhi, although the party is also in power in Punjab. Therefore, a disadvantage in Delhi, it can create an existential crisis, especially resurrected with the Congress. The party was derived from the fact that Delhi, being the capital, the assembly still pays high attention when the assembly is nowhere to other states in terms of its size and powers.
In terms of seats, the Congress Tally can be completely ignored but the context matters. After three consecutive losses in the Lok Sabha and now the assembly, the party can be written on the marked price. However, fixing the lost land in Delhi helps in underlining its position as pre-eminent anti-BJP force in the country.
Around 2012, Kejriwal began his political career on an anti-Congress plank-because the Congress-led UPA was in power at the center at that time-and became a lot of thorn in favor of the BJP. Kejriwal has done a strange position with the Congress, formed a brief government in the alliance with it in 2013.
Also read What are exit elections? How accurate are they? Questions before Delhi election results
Still, the AAP was part of the Congress-led India block in the Lok Sabha elections-they fought seven parliamentary seats in Delhi together-and were making an agreement in Haryana. After Kejriwal’s exit after two months of migration, and the Congress also became aggressive in claiming its lost vote banks.
If exit elections and final results match, the Delhi assembly elections will mean a significant benefit for the BJP after the victory in Haryana and Maharashtra, which came soon when the party failed to get a majority in the Lok Sabha itself. Was.
Despite some anti-natural-deficit, the AAP was riding on expectations after the BJP ended for a long time in the Delhi municipal elections almost a year ago. But it seems that Delhi is the true example of dictatorship, “Every election is different”.
(With PTI input)
